UPDATED: 08-28-26 11:10 PDT

stick Oregon
  
Oregon                
W-L: (13- 2) PR = 95.6169

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 830 H Montana St 59-13 906 H Oklahoma St B12 ( 2-10, 66.8) 69- 3 913 A Northwestern B10 ( 7- 6, 79.1) 34-14 920 H Oregon St P12 ( 2-10, 62.9) 41- 7 927 A Penn St B10 ( 7- 6, 85.2) 30-24 1011 H Indiana B10 (16- 0, 99.9) 20-30 1018 A Rutgers B10 ( 5- 7, 77.8) 56-10 1025 H Wisconsin B10 ( 4- 8, 77.2) 21- 7 1108 A Iowa B10 ( 9- 4, 88.5) 18-16 1114 H Minnesota B10 ( 8- 5, 76.8) 42-13 1122 H USC B10 ( 9- 4, 87.5) 42-27 1129 A Washington B10 ( 8- 4, 85.6) 26-14 1220 N J Madison SUN (12- 2, 84.2) 51-34 101 N Texas Tech B12 (12- 2, 96.3) 23- 0 109 N Indiana B10 (16- 0, 99.9) 22-56

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   906 H Oklahoma St            69- 3      66    34           0.00
   913 A Northwestern           34-14      20    11    +      2.79
   920 H Oregon St              41- 7      34    38           0.00
   927 A Penn St                30-24       6     5           0.84
  1011 H Indiana                20-30     -10     1    ---  -10.98
  1018 A Rutgers                56-10      46    13           1.40
  1025 H Wisconsin              21- 7      14    24           0.00
  1108 A Iowa                   18-16       2     2           0.10
  1114 H Minnesota              42-13      29    24           0.00
  1122 H USC                    42-27      15    13           0.66
  1129 A Washington             26-14      12     5    +++    7.29
  1220 N J Madison              51-34      17    11    +      2.54
   101 N Texas Tech             23- 0      23    -1    +++   14.71
   109 N Indiana                22-56     -34    -4    ---   -9.72

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
  1011 H Indiana                20-30     -10     1    ---  -10.98
   109 N Indiana                22-56     -34    -4    ---   -9.72

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
  1129 A Washington             26-14      12     5    +++    7.29
   101 N Texas Tech             23- 0      23    -1    +++   14.71
   913 A Northwestern           34-14      20    11    +      2.79
  1220 N J Madison              51-34      17    11    +      2.54

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 12.75

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   3 H Oklahoma St     ( 2-10, 66.8)    69- 3      -33.14      18.08      -5.26         0.91            23.36
   3 A Northwestern    ( 7- 6, 79.1)    34-14      -20.75      30.47       5.26         0.91            65.07
   3 H Oregon St       ( 2-10, 62.9)    41- 7      -36.96      14.26      -5.26         0.91            16.39
   3 A Penn St         ( 7- 6, 85.2)    30-24      -14.70      36.52       5.26         0.91            76.09
   3 H Indiana         (16- 0, 99.9)    20-30       -0.00      51.22      -5.26         0.91            -2.39
   3 A Rutgers         ( 5- 7, 77.8)    56-10      -22.15      29.07       5.26         0.91            62.53
   3 H Wisconsin       ( 4- 8, 77.2)    21- 7      -22.65      28.56      -5.26         0.91            42.45
   3 A Iowa            ( 9- 4, 88.5)    18-16      -11.44      39.78       5.26         0.91            82.04
   3 H Minnesota       ( 8- 5, 76.8)    42-13      -23.09      28.13      -5.26         0.91            41.66
   3 H USC             ( 9- 4, 87.5)    42-27      -12.37      38.85      -5.26         0.91            61.19
   3 A Washington      ( 8- 4, 85.6)    26-14      -14.26      36.96       5.26         0.91            76.91
   3 N J Madison       (12- 2, 84.2)    51-34      -15.74      35.48      -0.00         0.91            64.62
   3 N Texas Tech      (12- 2, 96.3)    23- 0       -3.57      47.65      -0.00         0.91            86.78
   3 N Indiana         (16- 0, 99.9)    22-56       -0.00      51.22      -0.00         0.91            -0.00
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       696.69

winning pts = 699.0829 losing points = -2.3950

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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